PREFACE
ABSTRACT

CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION
1��1 Background
1��2 Objectives
1��3 Justifications
1��4 Literature Review
1��5 Organization

CHAPTER 2 SITUATIONS OF GRAIN SUPPLY AND DEMAND IN CHINA
2��1 Grain Production
2��2 Grain Consumption
2��3 Grain Trade
2��4 Ending Stocks

CHAPTER 3 AGRICULTURAL SUBSIDY POLICIES IN CHINA
3��1 Agricultural Subsidy Policies
3��2 Changes in Input Factor Demand after the Subsidy Policies
3��3 Changes in Input Factor Prices after the Subsidy Policies
3��4 Characteristic and Impact Mechanism of the Subsidy Policies
3��5 Conclusion

CHAPTER 4 DIRECT EFFECTS OF THE SUBSIDY POLICIES IN CHINA
4�� 1 Subsidy Policies and Grain Supply Responses
4�� 2 Subsidy Policies and Grain Prices

CHAPTER 5 CHINA GRAIN SUPPLY AND DEMAND MODEL
5��1 Production Sector
5��2 Grain Consumption
5��3 Trade Sector
5��4 Price Linkages
5��5 Market Clearance
5��6 Model Estimation

CHAPTER 6 SIMULATIONS ON CHINA'S GRAIN SUPPLY AND DEMAND
6��1 Scenarios for the Policy Simulations
6��2 Simulations for the Subsidy Policies

6��3 Simulations for Changes in the Measurements of Grain Security
CHAPTER 7 CONCLUSION AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS ~
7��1 Conclusion
7��2 Policy Implications
7��3 Suggestions for Further Research

REFERENCES
APPENDICES
Appendix 1 Balance of rice supply and demand
Appendix 2 Balance of wheat supply and demand
Appendix 3 Balance of corn supply and demand